RG Alpha · backtest
Backtest, January 2023 – December 2025
These are hypothetical results: the strategy's rules applied to past BTC/USDT futures prices. They are not real trades in a real account. Real trading has delays, missed orders and fees that a backtest can't fully copy. Past results do not predict future results.
Trades
171
74 won · 97 lost
Win rate
43.3%
74 of 171 trades
Total P&L
+$6,258
profit factor 1.60
Worst drawdown
−$1,465
trades 90–106 · longest losing run: 6 trades
Cumulative P&L (USD)Worst drawdown
| Year | Trades | Win rate | P&L | Profit factor | Worst drawdown | Losing months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 18 | 66.7% | +$1,526 | 5.86 | −$149 | 0 |
| 2024 | 69 | 43.5% | +$3,070 | 1.82 | −$900 | 3 |
| 2025 | 84 | 38.1% | +$1,663 | 1.26 | −$1,465 | 4 |
| All | 171 | 43.3% | +$6,258 | 1.60 | −$1,465 | 7 of 28 |
Month by month
P&L in USD and number of trades. Grey months had no trade.
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
2023
+$2083 tr
+$376 tr
+$6233 tr
—
—
—
—
—
—
+$2011 tr
—
+$4575 tr
2024
+$5639 tr
+$2946 tr
−$2473 tr
—
−$497 tr
−$3608 tr
+$4729 tr
+$5916 tr
+$2457 tr
+$4256 tr
+$1,1036 tr
+$342 tr
2025
+$9093 tr
−$4842 tr
−$67611 tr
+$119 tr
+$4797 tr
+$1177 tr
+$3835 tr
−$968 tr
+$2057 tr
+$91611 tr
+$1838 tr
−$2836 tr
How the test was done
- BTC/USDT futures, historical prices, January 2023 – December 2025
- The RG Alpha strategy's entry, stop-loss and target rules
- Profit and loss shown in US dollars
- Figures may not include all trading fees, funding and slippage. Real results would be lower by those costs.
What it cannot tell you
- How the strategy will do in the future
- Your result, which depends on your size, leverage, start date and fees
- Delays or rejected orders on the real exchange
- How you will feel during a losing streak. Plan for one.